The Demand Modeler is responsible for developing and maintaining statistical baseline forecasts for their market. They handle all data and forecasting system management, providing key inputs on trends and variabilities in demand.

1. Demand Forecasting: Develop and maintain demand forecasting models using statistical algorithms, machine learning techniques, and historical sales data to predict future demand trends accurately.
2. Performance Monitoring: Responsible for the accuracy of the forecast, driving adjustments to enhance forecast reliability.
3. Collaboration: Collaborate with cross-functional teams to gather input, validate forecasts, and ensure alignment of demand plans with business objectives.
4. Scenario Planning: Conduct scenario analysis and sensitivity testing to evaluate the impact of various factors such as pricing changes, promotional campaigns, and market fluctuations on demand forecasts and recommend mitigation strategies.
5. Continuous Improvement: Stay abreast of advancements in demand forecasting methodologies, tools, and technologies, and proactively implement best practices to enhance forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
6. Provide key input to IBP process: Collaborate with IBP Lead and Demand Planner to conduct root cause analysis to identify drivers of forecast error and work together to take the necessary corrective action to drive continuous improvement in forecast accuracy and bias performance.

• Analytical skills: Ability to interpret complex datasets and perform statistical analysis.
• Proficiency with software: Familiarity with specialized forecasting software and Excel. Proficient with advanced planning software and ERP systems.
• Communication skills: Ability to communicate with a variety of stakeholders, from sourcing information to explaining forecast results.
• Data analysis: Use data analytics to analyze historical sales data and use algorithms to estimate future sales.

• Portuguese (Proficient)
• English (Proficient)
• Spanish (Preferred)

Worker Type: Regular

Primary Location: Sao Paulo

Additional Locations: Montevideo, Santiago